CryptoCred Playbook

The method in one screen

He is a discretionary trader and says these are frameworks to inform judgment, not a copy-paste system. MS@00:40:27FTA@01:03:17 Most examples are hindsight mark-ups he calls cherry-picked to show a concept. MS@00:01:57 He credits several ideas (FTA, SFP, thrust-candle stops, evolving R) to Tom Dante. FTA@01:00:52HL@00:23:37

Learning path

He keeps saying the same thing about learning: no replacement for screen time, test frameworks on your own markets, and journal. MS@00:02:10RT@01:19:27 Do each phase as read → watch → drill on charts, and move on only when you pass its check.

01Ground rules he repeats

02Timeframes

Higher timeframes are "in charge": bigger moves come from their levels, and their trends last longer and are harder to reverse. TF@00:08:22TF@00:05:27

• Judge a level on its own timeframe. A daily level breaks on a daily close. Lower-timeframe closes at higher-timeframe levels are unreliable; you may be "selling the formation of the wick". RT@00:17:02TF@01:02:08TF@01:04:26
• Give higher-timeframe levels higher-timeframe time. Two hourly candles at an hourly level are accepted, yet people panic after a week at a weekly level. TF@00:11:20SR@00:21:00
• Timeframe trap: a lower-timeframe breakout at higher-timeframe resistance can just be the wick. Ask "am I at risk of being the wick?" RT@00:17:29RT@00:21:38
• Proportionality: a daily trap gives a daily-sized move, a 15m trap a 15m move. Don't trade "crumbs" off weekly levels. HL@00:49:32FTA@00:45:03
• "An intraday retracement a high timeframe trend reversal does not make." Lower-timeframe moves against the dominant trend are fading opportunities. TF@00:23:54TF@00:29:31
• His 2019 filter: no daily-timeframe logic in the setup, no trade (optional for you). He suggests newer traders trade only the daily chart for about a quarter. TF@00:43:04TF@01:10:44

03Market structure

"A sequence of proximate highs and lows." Bullish is higher highs and higher lows, bearish is lower highs and lower lows. It is a tool for context, not a mechanical system. MS@00:03:09MS@00:01:16

The market structure break (MSB)

"A shift in the sequence of highs and lows in the opposite direction": a lower high closed through by a higher high (bullish), or a higher low broken by a lower low (bearish). MS@00:13:19MS@00:17:46 He marks swings with candle bodies and wants a close on the swing's own timeframe; otherwise "it's just a retest of S/R". MS@00:20:04MS@00:21:24

• Quality filter: recency, the size of the move that followed, the "smell test" (obvious at first glance), confluence with S/R or candle opens. "If in doubt, S/R it out." MS@00:04:17MS@00:04:40MS@00:07:42
• Don't chase every MSB: that makes you "a breakout and breakdown chaser". Higher-timeframe structure can be bullish while lower-timeframe structure is broken. MS@00:12:09MS@00:11:52
• Strong levels by working backwards: the high that came before a lower low is strong resistance; the low that came before a higher high is strong support. Ask the level for its "CV". MS@00:28:20MS@00:29:08
• Counter-trend trades need a higher minimum R:R (e.g. 2:1 vs 1.5:1) from closer invalidation, not wider targets, plus shorter holds, FTA targets and smaller size. MS@00:25:23MS@00:26:07MS@00:26:59
• Early warning: lower lows turning equal or higher in a downtrend flag "failure to continue" before structure breaks. MS@01:31:44MS@01:34:04
• Trend and traps: in an uptrend support holds and breakdowns are more likely traps; in a downtrend the reverse. SR@00:26:28HL@00:44:52
• In ranges, MSBs away from the extremes are often noise: "sometimes chop is chop". MS@01:30:20

04Levels

"A price or cluster of prices that has either acted as a floor and/or ceiling in the past or preceded a large move." SR@00:07:34 Every vocabulary (S/R, supply/demand, order blocks, ranges) marks the same neighbourhood: "all roads lead to Rome". SR@00:08:10

The nuances he trades on

• S/R flip: broken support becomes resistance (trapped buyers exit near break-even). SR@00:19:55
• First test best test. Repeated tests from the same side weaken a level: "you don't want to trade that the eighth time round". SR@00:25:01SR@00:21:56
• A reclaimed level restores its original role when a flip fails. SR@00:25:16
• The best breakouts leave fast with little or no retest; stalling after a break is a red flag. SR@00:22:51RT@00:55:59
• A level broken both ways is not necessarily wrong: "a double close a washed level does not make". OT@01:02:05
• Traits of a strong level (2018): many touches, violent reactions, recent price action ("read right to left") and a long time in play; rounded retests beat micro retests. SR18@00:19:34SR18@00:21:19SR18@00:27:46
• Opens (daily, weekly, monthly) are pivots inside a higher-timeframe view, not a bias on their own; round numbers matter most in trends with no history to the left. SR@00:17:54SR@00:18:33
• Significant highs and lows: timeframe, eye test, time anchors (session, day, week, month highs/lows), equal highs/lows and inside candles. "If you really need to look for it… it probably isn't." HL@00:04:17HL@00:04:37HL@00:06:06

05Why levels work

Market orders move price. When urgent market orders exceed the resting limit orders, price has to travel until they're filled. MM@00:04:15MM@00:07:24

• "Not everything is a stop hunt", or markets would never trend. Use outstanding higher-timeframe levels for this logic, not the 1-minute chart. MM@00:21:51MM@00:22:15
• He rejects the "market maker runs the stops" story: market makers fear inventory risk and like quiet, trendless markets. MM@00:28:27MM@00:31:31MM@00:32:51
• Liquidations beget liquidations; market makers quote wider near a cascade. MM@00:25:57MM@00:27:28
• Order-book walls are cancellable and can be "psyops"; executed flow (absorption) says more, but day trading order flow is hard. MM@00:38:23MM@00:41:34MM@00:41:49

06Setups

He presents setups as logic to build on, not complete strategies. MS@00:40:27SR@00:28:41

Five setups at a level

The failed break, his core edge

An overthrow is "when price exceeds a boundary of a technical structure and then falls back within it". The ingredients: a clear boundary, a close through it (ideally impulsive), price staying near the break, then a close back inside (ideally impulsive). Trade against the trapped side. OT@00:15:17OT@00:26:40OT@00:30:01

07Entry triggers

"A specific set of conditions under which a trade idea materializes into a position." He calls triggers "much more likely to be the source of edge than how you draw your lines". ET@00:02:41ET@01:12:06

• Beginners should start with limit-order or candle-close strategies. Triggers can be combined or switched on the same idea. ET@01:10:32ET@01:08:45ET@01:09:47
• Breakout or retest? The break guarantees a trade with worse R:R and more trap risk; the retest gives better R:R but no fill. "Trading at structure almost always gives you better risk reward." RT@00:13:05RT@00:28:57
• Wait for a retest only if the market has been giving them; the first leg out of a long range rarely retests. A weekly break may only be retested on the daily (a "hidden retest"). RT@00:36:20RT@00:38:13RT@00:55:31
• If the break candle already did most of the move, only the retest is tradable. "Don't be complacent where a good entry matters, but don't be greedy where pristine entry isn't required." RT@00:44:22RT@01:18:20
• Break of FTA as an entry: if you don't trust a level, enter when the nearby trouble area breaks, "paying up" for the evidence. FTA@00:31:40FTA@00:35:25FTA@00:38:06

08Stops

"The reason you are wrong should be closely tied to the reason for taking the trade."

RM@00:10:45 No clear invalidation? Skipping the trade is "totally appropriate". RM@00:13:39

• Eye test: put the stop on a blank chart. If you'd want to buy where your long gets stopped, the trade is poor, and that may be where to enter instead. Never leave a stop on S/R; move it back a candle. RM@00:15:57CDC@00:17:50OT@00:47:36
• Most "stop hunt" complaints are poor stop placement. RM@00:14:37
• Furthermost deviation vs thrust candle: the first is wider and survives retests; the second is tighter and only valid on a clearly impulsive candle ("if in doubt leave it out"). Pick by whether your market retests overthrown levels. OT@00:33:05OT@00:43:38OT@00:49:03OT@00:38:15
• Strictness scales inversely with the size of the move: tight hard stops for precise lower-timeframe trades with size; looser soft stops for wide swing ideas. Beginners: hard stops. RM@00:16:40RM@00:19:06RM@00:20:04
• He rejects fixed-percentage stops and stops placed to hit an R:R. OT@00:10:53

09Targets & management

First trouble area (FTA)

The nearest support or resistance against your position, used instead of dragging an R:R tool to an arbitrary 2:1. FTA@00:03:57FTA@00:05:10

With a higher-timeframe bias he skips lower-timeframe trouble areas and targets the higher-timeframe level. TF@00:55:35HL@00:28:30

Managing on evidence

• Keep asking: "are developments in price since my entry aligned with my expectations?" If not, close before the full loss. TM@00:08:17TM@00:09:59
• Manage losers too: trimming 1R losers changes the equity curve. TM@00:14:04TM@00:14:53
• Time matters: trap setups need a fast rejection, momentum setups shouldn't stall, too long at S/R shifts the odds from bounce to failure. TM@00:22:31TM@00:23:37TM@00:24:51
• Evolving R: would you take the current price, stop and target as a fresh trade? A wake-up call so nearly finished trades don't round-trip, not a ratio to enforce. TM@00:35:32RM@00:35:13RM@00:37:21
• Trailing suits trends, fixed targets suit ranges; have at least two exit methods. TM@00:32:34TM@00:34:07

10Risk & sizing

Position size = portfolio × risk % ÷ distance to invalidation. Position size is not the same as risk. RM@00:23:15RM@00:22:03

• Fixed risk per trade is "mostly" nonsense (2021): risk follows a setup's expected value, its frequency and the risk of ruin. RM@00:25:49RM@00:26:41
• Streaks: don't raise risk to win it back; don't cut risk on winning setups because another setup is losing; trade what isn't working less, smaller and more selectively. RM@00:39:54RM@00:41:54RM@00:44:40
• Leverage only sets collateral and how close liquidation is; position size sets the P&L. RM@01:01:03RM@01:02:13
• Alts follow BTC and ETH down, so a basket of coins is stacked risk; spread funds across exchanges. RM@01:04:44RM@01:06:07
• Learn live with small size (under 1% of the account) so you care. SR@00:36:29

11When he stays out

12Indicator basics

His early videos (2017–2018). The later series builds almost everything on levels and structure; these are recorded for completeness.

• Fibonacci: confluence only, never traded on its own. Anchor on obvious swings; he watches 0.382, 0.5 and 0.618 on deep daily swings; 1.272/1.618 extensions at all-time highs are less reliable. FIB@00:55:36FIB@00:13:22FIB@00:57:18FIB@00:38:47
• RSI: trade 70/30 with the trend, not "like a robot"; the 50 line as a bias guide on 4h/daily; divergences are its most powerful use. RSI@00:12:07RSI@00:20:24RSI@00:34:20
• Ichimoku: where a TK cross happens matters; inside the cloud is usually a no-trade zone except the edge-to-edge trade. ICH@00:08:31ICH@00:15:32
• Trendlines: three touches make a valid line, two are tentative; treat lines as zones. TL@00:00:42TL@00:02:35
• Candles: wait for the close on your timeframe; reversal patterns only at the end of a clear trend. CS@00:13:59CS@00:19:27

13Trade checklist

Tick through it on your own chart. Ticks are saved in this browser only.

14Gaps & contradictions

• Risk per trade: 2018 used 1–5% with a 3% baseline RM18@00:13:01; 2021 calls fixed risk "mostly" nonsense and sizes by setup RM@00:25:49.
• Losing streaks: 2018 cut overall risk after consecutive losses RM18@00:45:52; 2021 adjusts per setup RM@00:41:54.
• Break-even: the 2018 example moves to break-even "like a good trader"; 2021 says people misread that and critiques break-even at length. RM@00:38:54RM@00:49:43
• Top-down: 2019 sees "only positives" and requires daily logic TF@00:03:28TF@00:43:04; 2022 says it isn't necessary and your journal may show it hurts TD@00:02:45TD@00:41:04.
• Level anchors differ by video: last wick before a break (S/R 2018), lowest/highest closes (CDC), bodies (market structure), wicks for traps and bodies for zones (S/R 2022).
• "(UPDATED)" without a changelog: Entry Triggers and Microstructure don't say what changed, and the earlier versions aren't on the channel.
• SFP rules: he hedges and defers to Tom Dante; no mechanical SFP target. HL@00:27:59
• Invented number: the 60–70% in the Overthrow video is explicitly made up. OT@00:07:35

15Sources

Citation codes are topic codes (the series has one video per topic; "18" marks the 2018 original of an updated video). Every code on this page links to the timestamp.